S24: Attention Economy

Business History of Modern China

November 7, 2025

TikTok Dance Mashup

Key Questions

ByteDance is facing US demands that TikTok be sold to cut ties to its home country, while Beijing has taken legal measures to prevent any divestment without its consent © FT Montage/Dreamstime
  • “Truths” about TikTok: How to separate rumors from the real risks?
  • To ban or not to ban?
  • How to regulate social media in the age of “surveillance capitalism”?

Poll: Social Media Usage

Our Class vs. National Trend: News Consumption

2025 Digital News Report, Oxford University Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism (RISJ)

Our Class vs. National Trend: Social Media

Our Class vs. National Trend: Social Media

Our Class vs. National Trend: Views on TikTok

Discuss: What is a fair price for your data?

  • Scrolling habits, streaming choices and purchases — much of our online data is fed into a database for real-time analysis then re-sold to private companies.
  • If data is the new oil, how much is yours worth? Why?

Discuss: History of Tiktok

Zhang Yiming
  • Who is Zhang Yiming, founder of Bytedance?
  • What is Bytedance’s business model? What makes the company successful?
  • Discuss Bytedance’s early products: Today’s Headlines (jinri toutiao) and Subtle Jokes (Neihan duanzi)

Discuss: Bytedance, Tiktok, Douyin

Headquarter of Bytedance
  • Who owns Tiktok?
  • Who owns Bytedance? Is it a Chinese company?
  • From Douyin to Tiktok: How were the apps born? What are their differences?
  • What’s Bytedance’s relationship to the Chinese government? Do they share information?
  • How does the app recommend and/or moderate content?

Douyin’s Secret Sauce: Not Just the Algorithm

Social and e-commerce features on Douyin
  • Help creators grow: Focus on creativity of ordinary people
  • Topic marketing: Launching hashtags as trending topics or themes (e.g., #Booktok)
  • Make content creation frictionless: Background music, filters, editing tools, etc.
  • Turn comment section into a social hub: Where comments are as entertaining as the video
  • Personalized recommendation: Constant exposure to new creators
  • Where there is content, there is commerce: Seamless shopping

National Security: Guilty by birth?

Video: “No, I’m Singaporean”

Discussion: Banning Tiktok

  • Is the app a national security issue? How?
  • How legitimate are Tiktok’s data privacy concerns? How do they compare to other social media platforms?
  • Should TikTok be banned for its addictive algorithm and its impact on young users?
  • What are economic consequences of banning TikTok, especially for creators and small businesses?

Risk analysis: What’s at stake?

Risk Reason
Trustworthiness risk Country of origin
Data security risk Exponential growth; compliance with Chinese data laws
Ethical risk Protecting users (especially minors) data and privacy vs. Making app attractive (addictive)
Data censorship risk Past censorship behavior; AI’s ability to automate bias and shape public opinion

Bytedance’s Choices

US Democratic representative Jamaal Bowman, left, addresses TikTok supporters during a news conference last month © Alex Wong/Getty Images

Should Bytedance have pursued a different strategy?

  • Do nothing and stick to mission
  • Lobby with government
  • Legal battles
  • Sell-off / Spin-off

Bytedance: Terrible dealt hand?

Action Outcome
Do nothing and stick to mission New ban from Biden administration
Lobby with government Project Texas, not approved by 1st Trump administration
Legal battles Lost in supreme court
Sell-off / Spin-off Subject to Chinese export control law

Distribution of TikTok users

Countries with the largest TikTok audience

Success despite adversity: TikTok Brand value

  • In 2024, TikTok/Douyin was the most valuable unicorn worldwide with a $200 billion market cap.
  • As of 2025, TikTok had over 950 million users, and Douyin had over 830 million users.
  • TikTok’s major markets are America and Southeast Asian countries.
  • A third of users aged below 34 years registered on TikTok versus half of Douyin users were under 31 years.

Dealmaker in Chief

What changed?

What explains Trump’s shifting stance on Tiktok?

  • 2020: “The United States must take aggressive action against the owners of TikTok to protect our national security.”
  • 2025: “Why would I want to get rid of TikTok?”

Trump: I Saved TikTok

Discuss: Saving Tiktok

Roles:

  • US government
  • Chinese government
  • Bytedance
  • US Investors: Oracle, Sequoia Capital, etc.

Discuss impact:

  • Profit and reputation of company
  • Users, including American businesses
  • Investors
  • National security
  • Data privacy and content regulation
  • US-China relations

Two Mass Notifications, Two Different Outcomes

TikTok: The Latest Deal

  • 170 million US users
  • US operations valued at 14 billion USD, no sale of algorithm
  • Data and privacy for the app in the US will be led by tech giant Oracle, chaired by Larry Ellison, one of the world’s richest people and a Trump ally.

Is this a good deal? For whom?

TikTok: Reflecting on the Deal

  • What did TikTok do right?
  • What did it do wrong?
  • What lessons does Tiktok offer to Chinese companies, especially social media platforms?

TikTok: National Security

  • China’s ownership of the algorithm was the issue prompting the banning of TikTok in the first place. Under this new agreement, China evidently will retain ownership of the algorithm while “licensing” copies of it for American use.
  • What does that mean? Will US national security be compromised?

TikTok: Mirror on the Rule of Law

  • TikTok’s tech partners face massive legal risks by relying on Trump’s promises not to enforce the ban law, as courts rarely protect defendants who count on executive non-enforcement.
  • Can an executive order suspend enforcement? Can it satisfy the SCOTUS ruling on national security?

TikTok: Who’s Business?

  • Fear of Chinese government meddling in private businesses motivated the forced sale.
  • Now, the White House had not only sold TikTok US to a Trump ally by executive order but also benchmarked the deal at $14bn.
  • Is the executive branch now in the valuation business? Is this a new precedent of state capitalism – using political power to intervene in business?

TikTok: One Arm of the Monster

Facebook / Cambridge Analytica

  • Cambridge Analytica obtained private Facebook data of 87 million of users in 2014 to sell psychological profiles of American voters to political campaigns.
  • An employee from Palantir Technologies helped Cambridge Analytica harvest the data.
  • Fear of misinformation – on 2016 US presidential election, on Brexit referendum, and more.

Discuss: Surveillance Capitalism

  • What is surveillance capitalism? How is it different?
  • What does technology have to do with surveillance capitalism?
  • Is it a threat to Western liberal democracies? If so, how?

Surveillance Capitalism: What’s New?

We rely on categories such as “monopoly” or “privacy” to contest surveillance capitalist practices. And although these issues are vital, and even when surveillance capitalist operations are also monopolistic and a threat to privacy, the existing categories nevertheless fall short in identifying and contesting the most crucial and unprecedented facts of this new regime.

Surveillance Capitalism: What’s the End?

Technologies are always economic means, not ends in themselves […] Each generation stumbles into the quicksand of forgetting that technology is an expression of other interests. In modern times this means the interests of capital, and in our time it is surveillance capital that commands the digital milieu and directs our trajectory toward the future.

How to feel at home online?

The social conditions that summoned the digital into our everyday lives and enabled surveillance capitalism to root and flourish. I describe the “collision” between the centuries-old historical processes of individualization that shape our experience as self-determining individuals and the harsh social habitat produced by a decades-old regime of neoliberal market economics in which our sense of self-worth and needs for self-determination are routinely thwarted.

What’s to blame? What can be a way out?