S18: Sick Giant

Business History of Modern China

October 24, 2025

Dallas Buyers Club

Key Questions

  • Gray market: Why did informal economies thrive? How did they work?
  • Why are drug prices so high? How can health policies encourage ethical drug pricing?
  • Pharma and public health: How did China manage its healthcare system?

“Sick Man of Asia”

  • Western missionaries introduced Western medicine and education in the early 19th century, which led to Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) being supplemented – rather than replaced – by Western healthcare practices.
  • By the time the Communists prevailed, China suffered from low life expectancy and high illness rates.
  • At the end of the civil war, most healthcare was delivered by TCM practitioners, with Western medicine being uncommon.

Healthcare Strategy with Limited Resources: Mass Campaigns

  • “Mass campaigns” promoted self-reliance and low-cost public health initiatives using abundant human resources.
  • Healthcare principles from 1950: serve workers, farmers, soldiers; prioritize prevention; unite TCM and Western medicine; use mass mobilization.

Patriotic Hygiene Campaign (1952)

To do a good job in epidemic prevention and hygiene work is concrete patriotic behavior in the battle to smash American imperialist germ warfare!
  • The 1952 Patriotic Health Campaign started due to “poisonous insects” and claims of American germ warfare.
  • The campaign urged public responsibility for eliminating pests, waste, and ensuring clean water and food.
  • China established a central committee and launched programs for injections and destroying germ-carrying animals.
  • By 1953, a basic disease prevention system was in place.

Campaign against schistosomiasis

Symptoms include abdominal pain, diarrhea, bloody stool, or blood in the urine. Those who have been infected for a long time may experience liver damage, kidney failure, infertility, or bladder cancer.
  • In 1956, Mao Zedong started a campaign against schistosomiasis, a tropical disease caused by parasitic flatworms called schistosomes. It affects the urinary tract or the intestines.
  • The campaign used mass mobilization, science, and agriculture to boost development.
  • Its main goal was to accelerate agricultural growth.
  • The campaign’s success led to the Great Leap Forward.

Public Health in Mao’s China

A three-part healthcare system was planned: for public servants, state enterprise workers, and rural residents.

Officials

  • Medical care is divided by power and privilege.
  • Retired high-ranking officials enjoy exclusive access to top-tier doctors, free treatment, and more.

Urban workers

  • After adopting a Soviet-style planned economy, industries were nationalized, and state enterprises became the main employers.
  • The household registration system prevented rural residents from accessing these urban jobs and medical benefits.
  • Employees in state-owned, commune, and brigade enterprises were covered by the Labor Insurance Scheme (LIS) from 1951, which was funded by enterprise welfare funds.

Rural workers

  • Most farmers were covered by the Commune Medical Scheme (CMS) in the 1950s-1960s.
  • Three tiers: 1) village clinics, run by barefoot doctors for minor illnesses; 2)township health centers, offering treatment with a small staff; 3) county hospitals.
  • Public hospitals and clinics were funded by limited annual government budgets and not allowed to receive other payments.

Urban vs Rural: Medical Resources

Category Rural Urban Urban/Rural
Population (%) 85 15
Health Service Fund per capita (yuan) 2.26 9.8 4.34
Number of beds per 1,000 population 1.57 4.23 2.69
Number of doctors per 1,000 population 0.98 3.01 3.07
Annual number of visits per person 3 4 1.33
Number of hospital days per person 0.48 1.34 2.79
Health service expenses per person (yuan) 18.62 52.13 2.8
  • Mao China’s industrial policy favored urban areas, leading to more investment in urban employment.
  • Healthcare investment significantly favored urban workers over the rural population.
  • An estimated 30 percent of government spending on healthcare was directed to financing just the care for 7–8 million workers covered by one of these schemes (GIS), while only 16 percent went to pay for care for 500 million rural dwellers.

Barefoot Doctors

Facility Type 1952 1962 1965 1981
Commune (township) health centers NA 28,656 36,965 55,000
County hospitals 2,123 NA 2,276 2,367
  • During the Cultural Revolution (1966-1976), Mao targeted urban intellectuals and emphasized rural healthcare.
  • By 1973, medical staff were relocated to rural areas, and “barefoot doctors” were trained from rural populations.
  • Rural health centers increased significantly, while county hospitals grew little.
  • 1.5 million barefoot doctors and another 2.36 million health workers served the population.
  • Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) was reinstated as a primary care backbone due to cost and doctor shortages.

Maoist Legacy

The overall health of the population improved significantly:

  • Infant mortality dropped sharply.
  • General mortality rates declined.
  • Life expectancy at birth more than doubled.

Maoist Legacy, continued

Tu Youyou (b. 1930), Nobel Prize-winning Chinese malariologist and pharmaceutical chemist. She discovered artemisinin and dihydroartemisinin, used to treat malaria.
  • Improvements were due to public health campaigns, education, and the introduction of health insurance and trained medical practitioners.
  • By 1975, health insurance covered most rural dwellers, and 1.8 million barefoot doctors were trained.
  • China’s main causes of death shifted from infectious diseases to chronic diseases like cardiovascular issues and cancer between 1949 and 1978.

Privatizing Care

Patients in big hospital staring each other regarding care in a small hospital: “You go there first”.
  • Health policy financing moved away from central government funding towards market-based approaches and local governments became the primary public financiers of healthcare.
  • The 1994 tax reform centralized lucrative taxes with central and provincial governments, but transfers to poorer provinces were insufficient to equalize healthcare resources.
  • Local governments were given fiscal responsibility but only low-revenue, hard-to-collect taxes, leaving them with insufficient funds for services like healthcare subsidies.

Loss of Social Safety Net

A majority of the population lost health insurance coverage in China in the 1990s, reversing previous public health gains.

Urban Healthcare System:

  • Insurance coverage for the urban population declined significantly from nearly three-quarters in 1993 to barely half by the late 1990s, and 49 percent by 2002.

Rural Healthcare System:

  • The Commune Medical Scheme (CMS) collapsed due to the demise of communes and government withdrawal from financing healthcare, leading to a precipitous fall in villages participating in the scheme.
  • Insurance coverage for rural residents was very low, standing at only 7 percent by 2002, and even lower (3 percent) in the poorest western provinces.
  • Public subsidies for rural health dropped significantly between 1978 and 1988.

Addicted to Kickbacks

“This hospital rejects”red envelopes” and kickbacks. No entry to pharmaceutical sales representatives!”
  • Government funding mainly covered salaries and major investments, leaving hospitals to fund most operating expenses.
  • Public hospitals gained autonomy to generate profits through extra services, higher fees, and supplemental sites.
  • Providers charged markups on drugs and tests, and induced demand to increase revenue.
  • Drug sales became a primary source of hospital funding, with significant markups and revenue retention.
  • High profits and markups led to investments in new equipment and increased staff pay.
  • Physicians accepted bribes from patients for better service.

Top Heavy System

Hospital-focused:

  • Hospitals house most facilities, beds, and medical staff.
  • The majority of healthcare (~90%) is delivered in hospitals, not community centers.
  • Community clinics have lost many qualified doctors.
  • 1989: categorized hospitals categories into three classes (I, II, III) and by gradations within classes (A, B, C). Class IIIA facilities are over-subscribed.

Urban-focused:

  • The vast majority of the government’s health budget was devoted to funding health coverage and utilization for 8.5 million government employees, who accounted for only 1 percent of the population.
  • Healthcare access varies greatly by region and income.
  • Urban areas received more investment than rural areas.
  • The government health budget largely benefited a small percentage of the population (government employees).

Physical Diseases, Social Maladies

Root causes:

  • Government spending cuts led health institutions to rely on paying patients and profit.
  • Funding for health promotion and prevention was reduced.
  • Quality issues worsened access, with incentives for over-treatment and over-prescribing.
  • Government spending on healthcare did not keep pace with rising national health spending.
  • Health insurance coverage remained stagnant.

Symptoms:

  • Competition for paying patients caused duplication of expensive equipment and beds.
  • Rural residents were dissatisfied with local doctor training and quality, bypassing lower-level clinics for higher-level hospitals. Under-utilization of resources and idle staff at lower-tier institutions.
  • Excessive antibiotic use led to drug resistance and superbugs.
  • Out-of-pocket spending as a percentage of total health spending increased significantly.
  • Hospitalization became unaffordable for many, potentially costing a year’s income.

SARS: A Wake-up Call

A man sits in his stall beside caged dogs in a market selling wild animals for dishes in Guangzhou in south China’s Guangdong province, in this May 26, 2003 photo. STR / AP
  • The 2002-2003 SARS was initially unreported or under-reported, but it highlighted the need for substantial investment in the public health system.
  • China created a national network for reporting infectious diseases and emergencies, including Chinese Center for Disease Control.
  • Thousands of disease prevention projects were launched, including free screenings and vaccinations.

Insuring China

Program Name Year Established Target Population Nature Coverage Focus
Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance (UEBMI) 1998 Urban workers Implied Mandatory Up to 70% of health expenditures
New Cooperative Medical Scheme (NCMS) 2003 Rural population Voluntary Catastrophic (hospital) expenditures
Urban Resident Basic Medical Insurance (URBMI) 2007 Urban residents (unemployed, informal sector, students, children, elderly, poor, disabled) Voluntary Hospitalization expenses and catastrophic care

Story of Lu Yong

  • 2002: Lu Yong (b. 1968) was diagnosed with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML).
  • His doctor recommended “Glivec,” a drug from Novartis, which cost 23,500 yuan per month.
  • 2004: Lu earned about a generic version of Gleevec from India online, at 1/6 of the original price.

Discuss: Dying to Survive

Cast of characters:

  • Cheng Yong
  • Liu Sihui
  • Lü Shouyi
  • Zhang Changlin
  • Peng Hao
  • Cao Bin
  • Pastor Liu

Real Life Drug: Glivec

Imatinib (Glivec), Novartis
  • Imatinib is a targeted cancer drug. It is also known as Glivec (pronounced glee-vec).
  • Imatinib is a type of cancer growth blocker called a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI). Tyrosine kinases are proteins that cells use to signal to each other to grow. They act as chemical messengers.
  • Imatinib targets different tyrosine kinases, depending on the type of cancer.

Discuss: Dying to Survive

Discuss: Dying to Survive

Discuss: Dying to Survive

Discuss: Dying to Survive: Ending

Branded Drugs or Generics: Which one do you choose?

Branded Drugs vs. Generics

  • Many drugs have two names: a brand name and a generic name.
  • The brand name is given by the company that makes the medicine.
  • The generic name is the name of the active ingredient.
  • Companies get patents for new medicines, giving them exclusive selling rights.
  • After patents expire, other companies can make generic versions.

Brand Name vs. Generic Drugs

Branded drugs:

  • Created by the pharmaceutical company that made the medicine.
  • Have a specific brand name created by the manufacturer.
  • Companies have exclusive patent rights to market them under their brand name.
  • Generally cost more.

Generics:

  • The name of the active ingredient in the medicine.
  • Marketed by other manufacturers once the patent on the branded medicine expires.
  • Contain the same active ingredients as the branded medicine; they are just as effective.
  • Cost far less than branded drugs, similar to supermarket own-label products compared to branded goods.

Generic Drugs: Same but not the same

In principle:

  • Pharmaceutical equivalence: The generic drugs should have the same active ingredient, strength, dosage form, and route of administration as the original. Inactive ingredients, such as fillers, may differ.
  • Bioequivalence: The active ingredient is absorbed at the same rate and extent and becomes available at the site of drug action are the same.
  • The 90% confidence intervals for the ratio of the generic-to-brand means must fall between 80% and 125%.

In reality:

  • Generics are not fully identical but are claimed to be “the same in all ways that matter” for effectiveness.
  • Debates arose over which differences were significant, involving manufacturers, regulators, and policymakers.
  • The process of proving pharmaceutical equivalence is complex, involving politics, legal battles, and even counterfeiting.

Aspirin: Coated or Uncoated?

  • Aspirin, in any formulation or dose, increases the risk of bleeding.
  • While Aspirin is effective as an anti-inflammatory, few people can tolerate the stomach upset when given at these high doses.
  • Most of aspirin sold in the US is enteric-coated or safety-coated: it has a smooth coating that protects it from stomach acid, allowing the drug to be released in the intestine instead of the stomach, to prevent gastrointestinal bleeding.
  • The coating is an inactive ingredient in generic versions of Aspirin.

Discuss: Which Drug to Provide?

Scenario:

  • Total population = 1 billion
  • Branded efficacy = 90%.
  • Standard generic efficacy = 70%.
  • Lower-efficacy generic efficacy = 60%.
  • Budget is the same for all options (set equal to the cost of providing the standard generic to 800 million people).

As a public health official, which policy should our health system adopt, and why?

  • A: Generics for 800 million (70% efficacy) — 80% coverage.
  • B: Branded for 700 million (90% efficacy); 30% untreated — 70% coverage.
  • C: Targeted mix — Branded to 200 million (20%, highest-risk, 90% efficacy) + lower-quality generics to 630 million (60% efficacy) = 83% covered; 17% untreated.

Which Option?

Total population = 1,000,000,000. Budget is the same for all options.

Option Treatment(s) Coverage (people, %) Efficacy Calculation (shown) Effectively treated (people)
A — Generics only Standard generic to 800,000,000 800,000,000 (80%) 70% 800,000,000 × 0.70 = 560,000,000 560,000,000
B — Branded only Branded to 700,000,000 (30% untreated) 700,000,000 (70%) 90% 700,000,000 × 0.90 = 630,000,000 630,000,000
C — Targeted mix Branded to 200,000,000 (20%); lower-quality generic to 630,000,000; 170,000,000 untreated 200,000,000 + 630,000,000 = 830,000,000 (83%) Branded 90%; generic (lower-quality) 60% Branded: 200,000,000 × 0.90 = 180,000,000;
Generic: 630,000,000 × 0.60 = 378,000,000;
Total = 180,000,000 + 378,000,000 = 558,000,000
558,000,000

Poll: Which Option

Iron Triangle of Health Care

Unavoidable trade-offs among three goals:

  • Improve health
  • Lower cost
  • Better care

What makes a “health system”?

Two nebulous terms, but interdependent and interconnected.

Health

  • “Health” means complete physical, mental, and social well-being, not just lacking disease.
  • It’s also defined as the ability to pursue things individuals value.
  • Many indicators: life expectancy, infant mortality, and quality-adjusted life years.

System

  • Healthcare providers (e.g., doctors, nurses, hospitals, pharmacies, and traditional healers);
  • Organizations that supply specialized inputs to the providers (e.g., training schools, manufacturers of products);
  • Financial intermediaries, planners, and regulators who control, fund, and influence the providers (e.g., insurers, government agencies, regulatory bodies)
  • Organizations that offer preventive services, etc.

Discuss: How to Sell Drugs in China

  • Who are the main players of China’s pharmaceutical sector?
  • How big is China’s pharmaceutical market? What’s its potential?
  • What are the sales channels – selling, marketing, and distribution? What are the hurdles to market access?
  • How are drug prices set?

China’s pharmaceutical market customer segments (2017)

Which channel(s) would you prioritize?

Segment Location Number/Scale Average Revenue Per Unit Key Characteristics
City hospitals Urban 11,300 RMB 30Mn/hospital Patients with UEBMI; MNC ~30% share; Growth driven by “rich” diseases, demand for highest quality drugs
Urban community health centers Urban ~7.8K centers and ~25K satellites RMB 3.8Mn/CHC Patients with URBMI; MNC ~20% share; Primary care, chronic and minor illnesses; EDL drugs mandated
Private hospitals Urban 8,400 RMB 3.45Mn/institution Mostly specialty hospitals (derma, ophthalmic, etc.); Private pay, for-profit; Growth driven by reform
Pharmacies (mostly private) Urban ~400K RMB 0.4Mn/pharmacy Mainly OTC drugs and self-pay; Growth depends on insurance acceptance; Potential shift if SPD successful
County hospitals Rural 10,300 RMB 12Mn/hospital Patients with NCMS; Locals 90% share; Growth driven by insurance coverage, hospital upgrades
Township and village clinics Rural ~37K clinics and ~663K satellites RMB 1.5Mn/clinic Patients with NCMS; Locals 95% share; Primary care for rural population; EDL drugs mandated

Sales Representatives

  • The Chinese market is large, with many hospitals needing physician education on diseases and treatments.
  • Major companies nearly octupled their sales representatives in China between 2002 and 2011.
  • Sales reps are the primary way to communicate this information, as doctors prefer in-person interactions.
  • The “one product, one rep” model is used for important brands in major hospitals.

Xi’an Janssen: Johnson&Johnson

  • Xi’an Janssen was one of the first multinational pharmaceutical companies in China, founded in Xi’an in 1985.
  • It pioneered pharmaceutical marketing in China, training the first generation of medical representatives and creating a strong company culture.
  • Over-the-Counter (OTC) products like Daktarin and Motilium, became synonymous with common medicines.

Sales Representatives: How do they work?

GlaxoSmithKline Scandal

  • GSK was accused of bribing hospital staff, doctors, and officials to boost drug sales.
  • These bribes allegedly raised drug prices by one-third.
  • Investigators claimed GSK paid $450 million in bribes through middlemen between 2009 and 2013.
  • Doctors reportedly received 7-10% of drug proceeds as an incentive.
  • A Chinese court fined GSK $492 million and sentenced five defendants to prison.

GSK Scandal: Background

Perdue Pharma and Americas’ Opioid Crisis

  • Purdue Pharma, formerly owned by the Sackler family used aggressive marketing to promote OxyContin.
  • From 1999 to 2020, nearly 841,000 people died from drug overdoses in the US, with prescription and illicit opioids responsible for 500,000 of those deaths.
  • Purdue was fined for misleading the public about OxyContin’s addictiveness; the company filed for bankruptcy in 2019.

Market Failure in Public Health

Healthcare markets often fail due to noncompetitive conditions.

  • There’s a lack of price information and transparency.
  • It’s difficult to compare the value (quality vs. cost) of services.
  • Providers have more information than consumers (asymmetric information).
  • Government plays a significant role as a buyer and regulator.
  • Insurance coverage can lead to increased service use (moral hazard).

How Healthy is China? Life Expectancy Growth

GDP Per capita vs. Life Expectancy

GDP Per capita vs. Health Spending

Short-term Savings for Long-term Health Costs

  • Government funding for disease control and prevention decreased significantly.
  • Public health officials and physicians de-emphasized health education and preventive services.
  • Reduced funding contributed to the rise of chronic illnesses in China.
  • China faces a growing public health crisis with projected increases in patients and medical costs: between 2000 and 2025 China experienced a 70 percent rise in the number of patients, a 43 percent rise in inpatient hospitalization, a 37 percent increase in outpatient visits, and a 50 percent rise in total medical expenditures.

China’s Health Care System: An Overview

Cost:

  • National health expenditures are rising rapidly, with a large portion financed out-of-pocket.

Quality:

  • Significant variation in provider training, and poor enforcement of laws.
  • Overuse of pharmaceuticals and IV solutions is common.

Access:

  • Most modern healthcare facilities and government spending in urban areas
  • Access particularly challenging for the poor and migrant workers, with considerable variations across provinces.

Health Systems: US and China Compared

United States:

  • Spends roughly 18% of GDP on healthcare.
  • Primary care focuses on patient-centered medical homes (PCMH) augmented by technology and physician extenders.
  • Hospitals and physicians have been seeking integration.

China:

  • Spends 5–6% of GDP on healthcare.
  • Geographic variations are framed as societal inequities in resource allocation and access, particularly between rural and urban populations.
  • Concerns include bypassing lower-level providers for tertiary hospitals and low/variable training of primary care practitioners outside major cities.
  • Hospital and insurance sectors are booming due to government investment and private sector entry.
  • Most physicians are employed by public hospitals; all hospitals operate pharmacies for outpatient drug sales, contributing to over-prescribing issues.

US Drug Prices