S07: Developmental State

Business History of Modern China

September 29, 2025

Song: When Will You come back Again?

Yamaguchi Yoshiko / Li Xianglan

Yamaguchi Yoshiko
  • Born in Manchuria to Japanese parents.
  • Began singing on the radio at 13 as Li Xianglan and acting in Manchukuo propaganda films at 18.
  • She played the same role in each film: a downtrodden Chinese woman who falls in love with a Japanese man.
  • Arrested on charges of treason by the Nationalist government after 1945
  • Upon return to Japan, re-established her career as “Ri Koran” – a Japanization of Li Xianglan

Situating Manchuria

Qing in 1820

Map of Northeast China

Manchuria at the Height of Qing Empire

Changbai Mountain
  • 500K square miles, from the Great Wall to Siberia, twice the size of Texas
  • Diversity of environments: from arctic taiga to prairie grasslands, coastal rainforests to semiarid deserts to alluvial wetlands

Northeast China Today

Amur River, Heilongjiang, the longest river in Northeast China
  • Three provinces: Liaoning, Jilin, and Heilongjiang
  • Often referred to as China’s Rust Belt

Time: Between World Wars

China

  • 1895: First Sino-Japanese War
  • 1915: Japan presents 21 demands
  • 1919: Japan claims German concessions after Treaty of Versailles
  • 1927: Chiang Kai-shek forms Nationalist gov
  • 1928: Manchurian warlord Zhang Xueliang assassinated
  • 1931: Mukden Incident; founding of Manchukuo (1932)
  • 1937: Full Japanese invasion

World

  • 1914-1919: WWI
  • 1929: The Great Depression
  • 1939: Germany invades Poland; WWII begins in Europe
  • 1941: Japan attacks Pearl Harbor; US enters war
  • 1945: Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombed; Japan capitulates

Time: Great Transformation

Manchukuo was founded at the nexus of two trends: Japan’s catch-up industrialization and a major transformation of global capitalism.

Neo-classical capitalism:

  • Market-driven economy
  • Macro-economic tools: Monetary and fiscal
  • Conflicts between workers and managers

State intervention, with three models:

  • Fascism / Managed economy
  • State socialism / Planned economy
  • Democratic socialism / New deal economy

Key Questions

  • Building Angang: How did it become East Asia’s premier steel plant?
  • Industrial Policy and Planned Economy: How did Japan design Manchukuo’s First Five-year Plan? Did it work?
  • Catch-up industrialization: How to do it? China and Japan compared

Sun Yat-sen: Father of the Chinese Nation

Although the Nationalist party opposed Mao’s in China’s civil war, Sun – China’s first president and its most international leader – is still viewed by both the PRC and the ROC as father of the nation.

Sun Yat-sen

Ma Ying-jeou (Ma Yingjiu), former president of the Republic of China, visits the mausoleum of Sun Yat-sen in Nanjing

The CCP celebrates the 150th Anniversary of Sun Yat-sen, sun-yatsen-150th-anniversary-beijing

Sun Yat-sen: A Life

Sun looms large in 20th century Chinese history. But he also spent much of his career in exile and marginalized from national politics.

Year Event
1866 Born in Cuiheng, Guangdong.
1882 Moved to Honolulu to live with his brother, became a Christian.
1892 Graduated from Hong Kong College of Medicine.
1894 Founded the Revive China Society in Hawaii, exiled from China.
1895 Exiled in Japan and traveled globally to raise funds.
1912 Became first president of China but abdicated after 45 days. Formed the Nationalist Party (Guomindang).
1923 First United Front: With help from Russia, Sun arranged an alliance between China’s Nationalist and Communist parties to fight the remaining colonial powers and work towards reunification.
Table 1

Discuss: Sun Yat-sen

  • What’s Sun Yat-sen’s first program for China’s development?
  • How does Sun define China’s place in the world?
  • “In a nutshell, it is my idea to make capitalism create socialism in China so that these two economic forces of human evolution will work side by side in future civilization.” Is Sun a socialist or capitalist? How would that work?

Sun’s vision: Railway Development

Sun Yat-sen: Map for national construction

China’s High Speed Rail network

Sun’s vision: From China to Europe

Sunism

Sun Yat-sen plan for national construction, International Development of China
  • “Three Principles of the People”
  • Developmental state
  • Northern expedition against warlords and unification of China
  • Political tutelage

Sun on Chinese nationalism

Sun Yat-sen (1866-1925) with cabinet members, 1912

The Chinese people have only family and clan groups; there is no national spirit. Consequently, in spite of four hundred million people gathered together in one China, we are, in fact, but a sheet of loose sand.

Sun on party tutelage

Sun Yat-sen (1866-1925) inspects troops from the Whampoa Academy

“At this point the state is in great disarray and society has regressed, so the responsibility of the revolutionary party at present must be first to establish the state. We have still not reached the point of governing the state…. At this moment the state foundations of the republic have yet to be consolidated. We must carry out more work and build the country once again before the state foundations of a republic can be consolidated.

The Nationalist Party in the 1920s

Chiang Kai-shek with staff
  • In the mid-1920s, Whampoa Military Academy cadets formed Sun Yat-sen Study Societies to promote Sun’s ideology and reject Communism.
  • Militant nationalists sought centralized state power to modernize China and transform popular beliefs.
  • The primary division was between the right wing (aligned with Chiang Kai-shek) and the left wing (aligned with Wang Jingwei), based on their willingness to cooperate with Communists.

Death of Sun

Sun Yat-sen’s death
  • Sun’s death on March 12, 1925
  • Last wish of unifying China remained unfilfilled
  • Set off power struggle between the left wing (Wang Jingwei) and right wing (Chiang Kai-shek) of the KMT

Northern expedition (1926-1928)

Warlords in 1926
  • Fengtian clique (奉系)
    • Zhang Zuolin (張作霖)
    • Occupied Northeast China and parts of north China
  • Zhili clique (直系)
    • Warlords Wu Peifu (吳佩孚) and Sun Chuanfang (孫傳芳)
    • Occupied central and southeast China respectively.

War against warlords

Map of Northern Expedition
  • Start of 1926: Main force of Wu Peifu hit in Hunan and Hubei provinces; Changsha and Wuhan successfully captured
  • Sun Chuanfang’s force defeated in Jiangxi and Fujian provinces
  • End of 1926: NRA marches from Zhejiang province to Nanjing and Shanghai
  • 1927-03-23: Nanjing captured; Chiang Kai-shek founded new gov in Nanjing

Sun Yat-sen: On Global Governance

The world has been thrown back to the pre-war condition again. The scrambling for territories, the struggle for food, and the fighting for raw materials will begin anew. So instead of disarmament there is going to be a greater increase in the armies and navies of the once allied powers for the next war. China, the most rich and populous country in the world, will be the prize. […] Now the militaristic policy of Japan is to swallow China alone. So long as China is left to the tender mercy of the militaristic powers she must either succumb to partition by several powers or be swallowed up by one power. […]

Shall we organize for war or shall we organize for peace?

Sun Yat-sen: On Capitalism

Commercial war, or competition, is a struggle between the capitalists themselves. This war has no national distinction. It is fought just as furiously and mercilessly between countries as well as within the country. […] It was once thought by the economists of the Adam Smith school that competition was a benificent factor and a sound economic system, but modern economists discovered that it is a very wasteful and ruinous system. As a matter of fact, modern economic tendencies work in a contrary direction, that is, toward concentration instead of competition. That is the reason why the trusts in America flourish in spite of the anti-trust law and the public opinion which aim at suppressing them.

The Great Transformation

Why did a prolonged period of relative peace and prosperity in Europe, lasting from 1815 to 1914, suddenly give way to a world war followed by an economic collapse?

From Market liberalism:

  • Free labor markets, Free trade, Self-regulating monetary mechanism of the gold standard
  • Intellectual response to the English Industrial Revolution

To global crises:

  • 1914-1919: First World War
  • 1929: Great Depression

Timeline: Japan’s Road to War

How Japan responds to the global crises would change not just its own history, but that of China, East Asia, and the world.

From Manchurian crisis…

  • 1927: Tanaka Giichi cabinet claimed Manchuria and Mongolia as Japan’s lifeline
  • 1928: Kwantung army assassinated Manchurian warlord Zhang Zuolin
  • 1931: Mukden Incident; military occupation
  • 1932: Founding of Manchukuo

… to global war

  • 1933: Japan withdrew from the League of Nations, which refused to recognize Manchukuo
  • 1937: Full invasion of China
  • 1941: Attack on Pearl Harbor;
  • 1945: Atomic bombing of Nagasaki and Hiroshima; Japan capitulates

Japan: An Anxious Empire

Japan against Russia. Great Britain pushes Japan during the Russo-Japanese War.

Japan’s adoption of producer economics was driven by a feeling of insecurity and anxiety tied to the international environment:

  • Meiji Restoration (1868): Need to catch up with the industrialized West
  • This anxiety was heightened by the perception of national crisis and external threats during the 1931-45 war.

Japan: Industrialization and National Power

Sino-Japanese War 1894

Japanese industrialization was a response to the Western threat in the mid-19th century. Its primary motivation was to strengthen national power in int’l competition, with three collective goals:

  • to “increase production and develop industry”
  • to build up “a rich country and a strong army”
  • to pursue “enlightenment and civilization”

Japan’s Expansion

  • 1895: First Sino-Japanese War; Taiwan colonized; privilege to open factories in China proper.
  • 1905: Russo-Japanese War, gained special privileges in Manchuria and northern China.
  • 1910: Korea colonized.

Manchuria: From Qing Ancestral Homeland to Japanese Protectorate

Under Qing

  • Manchuria as preserve of Manchu heritage
  • Restriction of Han Chinese migration
  • Migration ban relaxed by 1902 in response to Russian and Japanese expansion in the region, and to famine in north China
  • 8 million migrants between 1890 and 1942

Under Japan

  • 1895: Treaty of Shimonoseki
  • 1905: South Manchurian sphere of influence after victory in Russo-Japanese War
  • 1919: Treaty of Versailles; gained German protectorates in China.

Japanese sphere of influence in Northeast China

South Manchurian Railway Route Map
  • Leasehold over Liaodong Peninsula (later Kwantung Leased Territory)
  • Russian-built Chinese Eastern Railway from Changchun to Liishun (later Mantetsu, the South Manchurian Railway)
  • Railway zone, which land along railway track and key railway towns

Kwangtung Army

Kwantung army soldiers
  • Regular army division and heavy siege artillery battalion in the Kwantung Leased Territory
  • Two-fold strategic mission:
    • Secure concessions to build new strategic rail lines
    • ensure that Manchuria remained free of the political and military instability in ROC

South Manchurian Railway

South Manchurian Railway: The Most Important Link Between the Far East and Europe
  • Japan’s largest corporation
  • Expanded Russian-built railway into largest rail network in Asia
  • Operated coal mines, harbor and port facilities
  • Subsidiary corporations: millet, sorghum, coal, soybeans
  • Research wing became center of Japanese colonial research

Settler colonialism

South Manchurian Railway cigarette card
  • Kwantung Army and South Manchurian Railroad as main employers of empire
  • Japanese civilian population in Manchuria: from 16,612 in 1906 to 233,749 in 1930
  • Most managerial, urban, and professional: manufacturing, commerce, transportation, public service as key industries

In need of a new lifeline

Even before the Great Depression, Japan was already preparing for military confrontation in Asia.

From cooperation….

  • Japan shifted to a policy of cooperation at the Washington Naval Conference, 1921-1922, an effort by the United States to promote naval arms control and international stability in the Pacific region following World War I.
  • Japan committed to respecting China’s sovereignty, independence, territorial and administrative integrity.

… to confrontation:

  • Japan viewed the West’s self-determination push in China as a way to limit Japan’s influence.
  • In 1927, the Tanaka Giichi cabinet adopted an aggressive policy: Manchuria and Mongolia were claimed as Japan’s “lifeline.”
  • Japan advocated for racial equality with the West but felt discriminated. It didn’t extend such equality to its Asian neighbors, viewing itself as superior.

Crises in Japan

Kwantung army soldiers
  • Great Depression further weakened Japanese gov
  • Next PM Hamaguchi Yuko could not solve the Great Depression and was shot by right-wing radical in Nov 1930
  • US tariffs increased duties on Japanese goods led to failures of silk industry and rapid unemployment

Manchuria as Lifeline

After the Great Depression, full control over Manchuria was predicted to be a Japanese “lifeline” and “our only means of survival”.

Map of Manchukuo, ca. 1939
  • Security: Buffer to Russia
  • Source of raw materials: Coal, iron, timber, soybeans
  • Markets to help withstand impact of global depression
  • Four times larger than Japan: Living space for Japan’s population

Founding of Manchukuo

Puyi, Qing’s Last Emperor, and emperor of Manchukuo (1934-1945)
  • By 1932, Manchuria was wholly occupied by the Japanese
  • Not formal annexation of the Northeast and creation of a Japanese colony
  • Instead, creation of Manchukuo an independent state in March 1932, under Puyi, last emperor of Qing dynasty

Activity: Manchukuo’s Five-Year Plan

Consider the following:

  • Vision statement
  • Key priorities
  • Hard goals
  • Potential risks
  • Action steps

Three principles of Japanese developmentalism

Japanese developmentalism, unlike liberal capitalism, prioritized “national production through industrial policy at the nation-state level.”

Strategic economy:

Government plans should optimize industrial structure for international trade.

Restrained competition:

State regulations should concentrate resources in strategic industries and maintain economic order.

Rejecting profit motive:

Mobilizing human resources by trading short-term profits for labor’s cooperation in productivity.

What is Fascism

There are irrational aspects to fascism – such as its desire for world domination by military power – but to achieve this irrational goal, fascist regimes also adopted rational economic reforms.

Nationalistic ideology

  • Extreme nationalism: Shared history, blood ties, supremacy of certain people based on these characteristics.
  • Cult of personality: Strong leaders, often perpetuated in mass media and propaganda
  • Popular mobilization: Stirred-up enthusiasm for the country, the party, and the leader.
  • Defense state: The nation-state was the basic unit for war mobilization.

Economic ideology

  • Strategies to counteract the Great Depression and to mobilize for war.
  • The economy has a national boundary; domestic companies favored.
  • Victory depends on industrial strength. The state should serve play a key role in managing the economy.

Total war theory and its impact

Ideas

  • Total war theory states victory depends on industrial strength, not just battlefield strength.
  • Every economic instrument, every material should be mobilized to fight.
  • The economy became a means to the nation-state’s political ends, not an end in itself.

Implications:

  • The Japanese state became an “economic general staff”: it planned production, upgraded industry, and controlled resource allocation.
  • National interest (economic strength, independence, military power) superseded individual freedom and property rights.

Methods of state intervention

Liberal capitalism

  • Macro economic policy: monetary and fiscal

Fascist capitalism

  • Focus on micro level: Control and use of human and material resources for national production and security
  • Develop heavy-chemical industries
  • Promote exports in order to increase Japan’s import capacity
  • Easy money policy to promote production

Japan’s Managed Economy: Global Influences

In addition to Nazi Germany, Japan also found inspiration – and threat – in Soviet and American models.

Germany:

  • The German experience as key reference: theory of total war and national socialism.

Soviet Union:

  • Japan studied the Soviet economy – both a model and a threat.
  • Modified Marxism: excluded class struggle and int’l solidarity but emphasized planning
  • Adopted social policy as precondition for mobilizing working class into the nationalist program of state policy
  • Need to adjust or reform “irrational” elements of economic institutions in the national crisis.

USA:

  • The Tennessee Valley Authority influenced Japan’s nationalization of management in the electrical industry.

Japan’s Managed Economy

To achieve its strategic goal, the Japanese state made a great effort to constrain market forces using both state regulations and non-state institutions.

State regulations:

  • Personnel drafts and employer orders on employment conditions, layoffs, wages, and dispute resolution.
  • Control over production, distribution, and exchange of production materials.
  • Restrictions on establishing new firms, increasing capital, mergers, business changes, and stock issuance.

Non-State Institutions:

  • Cartels moderated the Great Depression’s effects.
  • Shift from direct financing via stock sales to indirect financing via bank loans.
  • Industrial patriotic associations mobilized and trained workers.

Bloc Economy

From Economic nationalism…

  • Emergency Tariff Act (1921) and Fordney-McCumber Tariff Act (1922): Made it harder for European nations to export to the United States and so earn dollars to service their war debts.
  • Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act (1930): Entrenched the protectionism. Canada, Britain, France et al. retaliated, leading to a sharp decline in global trade.
  • Protectionist spiral strained diplomatic relations and, amid the Great Depression, worsened economic conditions.

… to Bloc Economy

  • Japan wanted a regional economic bloc under its leadership due to its limited natural resources: Manchuria, China, Korea, and Taiwan.
  • Great East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere, based on Asianism.
  • Parallel trade blocs: the Commonwealth and the Reichsmark bloc.

Manchukuo: Economic Powerhouse

Location of Railroad and Japanese Immigrant Colonies, Library of Congress, https://lccn.loc.gov/80675188

Manchukuo’s major industrial products as percentage of total in China, 1943

Industrial product %
Coal 48.8
Pig iron 88.5
Steel 91.0
Electricity 66.5
Cement 66.0
Salt 26.1
Ammonium sulfate 69.0
Soda ash 60.0
Machinery 95.0

Manchukuo Economy: At a Glance

Industry

  • Rapid industrialization focused on heavy industry
  • Massive iron/ore deposits around Anshan used for steel expansion + Vast coal reserves (Fushun = major open-pit mine)
  • German and Japanese technology transfers
  • Large use of Chinese labor, including forced labor/POWs in major enterprises, while Japanese staffed key technical and managerial roles
  • Major industrial centers: Anshan (Shōwa Steel), Mukden, Dairen, Fushun, Harbin

Agriculture

  • Dominant employer (~85% of population)
  • Major crops: soy (principal export), kaoliang, corn, wheat, rice; mixed subsistence and commercial farming
  • Intensive farming concentrated on southern plains

Showa Steelworks: Crown Jewel

Origins, ownership, and governance

How did strategic concerns shape Showa’s management practices and corporate governance?

Production, technology & inputs

Which technologies and foreign suppliers (German, American, etc.) did Shōwa/Angang rely on? What were the main raw‑material sourcing and transport constraints?

Economic strategy & performance

How did Showa prioritize military output over profitability? To what effects?

Showa Steelworks: A History

Year Event
1915–1918 Japan secures economic concessions in Manchuria; Anshan Ironworks established (1918) to process Anshan ore into pig iron.
1929–1933 South Manchurian Railway formally establishes Shōwa Steelworks; later merged into Anshan as Shōwa Steelworks (1933).
1933 Shift toward German technology for blast furnaces and growing state‑directed industrial policy under Manchukuo’s Five‑Year planning.
1938–1944 Production expands despite unprofitability. By 1941 Shōwa produced the vast majority of Manchuria’s pig iron and steel (e.g., 86.7% of pig iron, 69.5% of steel in Manchuria); Heavy reliance on North China coal and ore.
Table 2

Showa Steelworks: Origins, ownership, and governance

  • Grew out of earlier Anshan Ironworks and Shinkō Company established under South Manchuria Railway (SMR)
  • Gradual shift from SMR/private control to strong state influence—Manchukuo bodies (MHID ~55% by Mar 1938)
  • Preexisting Chinese public enterprises absorbed into Manchukuo SOEs
  • Required ministry approval for board appointments, statutes, profit use, bond issues, mergers and share transfers
  • Kantō Army and Manchukuo planners prioritized creating an autonomous heavy‑industrial base for military operations (e.g., against the USSR).
  • That security-first logic was redoubled even when unprofitable—management was organized to meet military targets rather than market signals.

Production, technology & inputs

  • Reliance on imported technology: American‑designed Blast Furnace in 1930; Western machinery and advisors
  • Technology flows & constraints: Germany became the principal supplier in the 1930s, but shipping equipment became difficult after 1939
  • Raw‑material sourcing: local Manchurian iron ore and Fushun coal were primary inputs, but reliance on North China coal and ore from 1938 onward, which were more expensive to ship than nearby Fushun
  • US bombing in 1944 and Soviet entry in 1945 physically damaged facilities and disrupted operations

Economic strategy & performance

Security‑first strategy

  • Shōwa was run to maximize production for Japan’s wartime needs—even at the expense of profitability.
  • State bodies and trading monopolies (e.g., Japan–Manchuria Trade Company) subsidized Shōwa products to keep capacity running despite losses

Impressive growth, poor profitability

  • Rapid quantitative growth in pig iron and steel (~86.7% of pig iron and ~69.5% of steel in Manchuria by 1941)
  • Persistent poor profitability and weak incentives to improve quality or cost‑efficiency

Unequal labor regime

  • Preferred (Japanese) workers, segregated living/benefits
  • Forced labor/POWs — harsh human costs and labor instability.

Take-away: Between socialism and capitalism

“In a nutshell, it is my idea to make capitalism create socialism in China so that these two economic forces of human evolution will work side by side in future civilization.”

Sun Yat-sen, “International Development of China”

  • Both socialist and capitalist systems saw increased state power and market limitations due to total war.
  • Late industrializers, despite ideology, desired heavy industrialization led by a strong state.
  • Industrial Manchuria represents a convergence and mutual influence between socialism and capitalism.

From Showa to Angang: Legacy of Manchukuo

  • Both Japan and Nationalist China pursued Soviet-inspired mobilization, which unintentionally set the stage for the PRC’s industrialization.
  • Former Japanese factories, reorganized by the Nationalists, became key SOEs in the PRC.

Tariff Wars, Encore

Rise of Economic Blocs, Again

May 24, 2022: Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, U.S. President Joe Biden, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi stand together prior to the Quad Leaders’ meeting at Prime Minister Kishida’s office in Tokyo, Japan. © Getty Images

The leaders of Russia, China and India shared a moment of bonhomie at a security summit, 2025

Xi, Putin, and Kim at 2025 China Victory Day Parade