S01: The Business of China

Business History of Modern China

September 15, 2025

Song of Labubu

Key Questions

  • Economics of Labubu: What can its success tell us about the Chinese economy and the world?
  • Contradictions of trade: Why didn’t it bring democracy to China? Why didn’t it bring peace?
  • What do we study when we study business history? And why China?

The Labubu Shock

Pop Mart Founder Wang Ning

The China Shock: Has Its Economy “Peaked”?

China’s retail figures, August 2025

Discuss: Labubu

  • A monster with sharp teeth: What’s the value proposition of Labubu’s intellectual property (IP)?
  • Why is Labubu selling so well, when the Chinese economy is stalling?
  • Labubu is neither the first nor the only blind box toy manufacturer. Why is it catching on?
  • Does it matter that the parent company of Labubu is Chinese? Why (or why not)?

China: A Toy Story

Labubu’s Friends: China’s New Retail Giants

SHEIN TEMU TikTok Shop
Core Business Model Ultra-fast fashion + Data-driven micro-inventory Reverse manufacturing + Deeply subsidized pricing Entertainment-first social commerce
How It Works Small test batches → Analyze demand → Scale rapidly Products are manufactured AFTER demand is generated → No excess inventory Influencer-driven sales → Viral product exposure → Impulse buying
Challenges & Risks Ruthless trend cycles (what’s hot today may flop next month) - Price competition is intense - Requires quick inventory adaptation Margins are razor-thin - Heavy reliance on platform subsidies - High return rates due to price-sensitive buyers Virality is unpredictable - No viral traction = No sales - Platform algorithm controls visibility

From Toys to Technologies of the Future

“New three things”: electric vehicles (EV), lithium-ion batteries, and solar photovoltaics (PV).

China’s Supply Chain Advantage

  • Striking resilience: Even after decades of fast-paced expansion, and despite quickly rising costs in the country and growing trade and other barriers globally, China’s weight in global production and exports continues to grow.
  • Controlling tomorrow: According to the ASPI Critical Technology Tracker, China already leads the world in 37 out of 44 tracked critical technologies, including artificial intelligence (AI), communication technologies, biotechnology, and more.

China’s Low Human Rights Advantage?

  • Overtime, lack of job site security, exposure to toxic chemicals, etc.
  • Price pressure from multinational companies as a huge hurdle to improving Chinese workers’ rights.
  • Weak enforcement of labor law; crackdown on labor union and political protest.
  • Now Chinese manufacturers are shifting to lower cost countries: Vietnam, India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, etc.

Labubu’s Designer: Kasing Lung

Hong Kong: Former Toy Capital

Doll heads are sorted at the Kader factory in 1973. Photo SCMP Archive
  • Post-WWII Hong Kong saw rapid industrial development due to refugee labor, plastic manufacturing advancements, and Western investment.
  • By 1972, Hong Kong was the world’s largest toy exporter, driven by plastic trade and innovations like the watermelon ball.
  • In the 1980s, China’s opening led to manufacturers relocating, but Hong Kong shifted to higher-value activities like design and marketing.
  • Despite fewer Hong Kong-made toys today, the industry remains strong, ranking fourth globally in 2019.

Pearl River Delta

A Different Figurine

Famille noire-beeld van een staande man, Het Scheepvaartmuseum
  • What is this object? When was it made?
  • Who was the maker? Who was the buyer? How was it exchanged?
  • What can the object tell us about the society that made / consumed it?

From China to Europe: Re-exporting Racism

Famille noire-beeld van een staande man, Het Scheepvaartmuseum
  • A Chinese figurine commissioned by a rich European, offering a racist caricature of an African.
  • It was made using the famille noire technique and commissioned by a rich European.
  • Red lips, bulging eyes, and minimal clothing are common in Western depictions of Africans.
  • Stretched earlobes, hairstyle, and lotus connect to the Chinese image of Buddha.
  • The figurine represents the exchange of racial stereotypes and visual imagery of the “other” in circulation at that time.

Two Figurines, One History

Famille noire-beeld van een staande man, Het Scheepvaartmuseum

Discuss: Myths of Chinese History

  • What are these myths about China (and Chinese business)?
  • What are the main turning points in modern Chinese history?
  • What does business have to do with them?

Turning Points of Modern China

  • 1792
  • 1905
  • 1949
  • 1978
  • 2008

Turning Points in Modern China: 1792

Lord George Macartney

Qianlong’s Reply

Hitherto, all European nations, including your own country’s barbarian merchants, have carried on their trade with Our Celestial Empire at Canton. Such has been the procedure for many years, although Our Celestial Empire possesses all things in prolific abundance and lacks no product within its borders. There was therefore no need to import the manufactures of outside barbarians in exchange for our own produce…

Turning Points in Modern China: 1792

Qing China:

  • Imperial expansion: incorporation of Xinjiang, Tibet, Mongolia
  • Population growth: from well over 100 million in the late 17th century to 430 million in the mid-19th century.

World:

  • Age of revolution: American and French Revolutions
  • From mercantilism to free trade
  • Industrial revolution
  • Imperial expansion to Asia

Turning Points in Modern China: 1911

Sun Yat-sen

Plan for National Construction

Turning Points in Modern China: 1911

China

  • Carving up China: Semi-colonial status and partial sovereignty
  • Collapse of Qing, last imperial dynasty (1911)
  • Rise of Chinese capitalism: First Company Law in 1904
  • Overseas Chinese workers: From slavery to indentured labor

World

  • Second Industrial Revolution, defined by new communication technologies: railway, telegram, radio
  • Small, owner-managed businesses gave way to large, publicly-traded corporations
  • Big Business co-evolved with Big Government: new federal authority to police capital and manage monopolies
  • Gilded Age: Inequality, labor unrests and rise of int’l proletarian movements

Turning Points in Modern China: 1949

Turning Points in Modern China: 1949

China:

  • Planned economy: Land reform, collectivization, Great Leap Forward
  • Frequent political campaigns, including the Cultural Revolution (1966-1976)
  • Korean War (1950), Sino-Soviet split (1959-60), Sino-Indian War (1962), pivot to the Third World
  • Tension between Soviet model and Chinese reality, between tradition and modernity

World:

  • Cold War and the Iron Curtain
  • Decolonization and independence movement
  • Nuclear technology, global arms race, developmental economics

Turning Points in Modern China: 1978

Turning Points in Modern China: 1978

China:

  • One of the poorest countries in the world
  • But high level of human development among its peers: Literacy, life expectancy, female labor participation, etc.
  • Model of Asian development state: Japan + Four Asian Dragons (Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, and South Korea)

World:

  • Unprecedented flows of capital, trade, and services across borders
  • Decline in traditional manufacturing jobs in developed economies.
  • New supply chains and management theories: Total Quality Management (TQM), Lean Manufacturing, and Just-in-Time (JIT) inventory.
  • Financialization: Increased importance of stock markets, mergers and acquisitions, and shareholder value.

Turning Points in Modern China: 2016

Turning Points in Modern China: 2016

China

  • How to overcome the middle income trap?
  • End of high-speed growth: Debt, demographics, and deflation
  • Old playbook of supply-side reform, new model of tech-driven growth
  • Made in China 2025, Belt and Road Initiative
  • Political uncertainty: Who will succeed Xi Jinping?

World

  • 2008 financial crisis and its fallout: Tea Party movement, Occupy Wall Street
  • Technology: Age of 5G, social media, AI.
  • Existential threat of climate change
  • Chokepoint capitalism: Interdependence weaponized (semi-conductor, rare earth)
  • Anti-globalization, anti-immigration movements: Brexit, Trump 1.0
  • Illiberalism and democratic decline: WTO bypassed; int’l agreements (Paris accord, NAFTA) withdrawn

Summary: China in the World

First Wave: Age of Exploration (15th and 16th Centuries)

  • European powers seeking new trade routes and resources
  • China as a primary target market due to high demand for new world silver
  • China became dominant producer of highly coveted goods like tea, porcelain
  • Characterized by mercantilism, colonialism, and the rise of European trading companies.

Second Wave: Age of European Empires (1870-1914)

  • Opium trade helped pay for European imperialism and industrialization
  • Scramble for resources and markets in Asia, driven by new tech (railway, etc.)
  • New international financial systems emerged, alongside evolving concepts of national sovereignty.
  • Rise of communism in China, leading to the establishment of the first agrarian socialist regime.

Third Wave: Late 20th Century - Present

  • Unprecedented flows of capital, trade, and services across borders
  • Coincided with China’s economic reform and opening-up policy
  • Complex global value chains emerged: Both hierarchy and network effects
  • Rule-based, multilateral order (e.g., WTO), promoting trade liberalization and foreign investment.

Rethinking Periodization of Chinese History

  • What is the main story of modern Chinese history – revolution or modernization?
  • Was the Mao Zedong era (1949-1978) a mere blip?
  • “Great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation”: Are we returning to a Chinese-centric world order?
  • How did China shape global history of capitalism and vice versa? What’s unique about China?
  • Why didn’t capitalism bring democracy to China? Why didn’t trade bring peace?

Clinton: Why China should join the WTO

Cotton on Clinton

Debate: Was Bill Clinton Wrong?

  • Get into pairs
  • Introduce yourselves: Name, year, academic interest
  • Debate: Team Cotton vs. Team Clinton?